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Physical Scientist at NWS/NCEP/EMC. This is a personal account and tweets do not represent the opinions of NOAA.

3x FSU Alum #GoNoles
sites.google.com/view/andrew-ha…

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Amazed at the different scales being seen in Zoomed-in, this might look like a hurricane you would see at 15N, 50W in August. Then you zoom out, and you see it's embedded in a moist bubble in a massive upper-level trough.

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As a couple other mentioned, this wave to the SE of the Cabo Verde islands honestly looks like it could be very close to being a TD already. Convection has been asymmetric but persistent, and ASCAT shows a solid circulation with 30kt winds. Will be short-lived whatever it is.

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Another sign of how the global tropical SST trends (+AMO, -ENSO) is favoring a potentially busy hurricane season: the "MDR-global tropics" SSTA difference is positive for the first time this season. We'll see how that persists with Atlantic trades forecast to pick up.

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