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Owner/developer of tropicaltidbits.com. PhD in meteorology from FSU. Opinions are mine alone.

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フォロー数:1006 フォロワー数:114098

Meanwhile in the Bay of Bengal, the developing tropical cyclone there appears stronger today than most model guidance predicted this early. Several days before landfall yet, but this storm is guaranteed to bring dangerous impacts to SE Asia and/or India next week.

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[#NerdTweet] With this gulf disturbance, if sfc low rotates to NE side of the upper low, shear decreases, and erosion of the +PV anomaly via diabatic heating would allow favorable interaction.

If SW flow is maintained over the disturbance, though, development chances much lower.

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continuing to construct an inner core tonight, a continued sign of a maturing hurricane. So far there are no indications that Michael won't become very strong, as forecast

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has become a hurricane.

Expected to strengthen into a major hurricane (max winds around 120 mph) before landfall in Florida Panhandle on Wednesday.

Life-threatening storm surge, wind, and inland flooding expected.

Get prepared and heed evacuation warnings!

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