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Dr. Daniel Swainさんのイラストまとめ


Climate scientist-communicator focused on extreme events like floods, droughts, & wildfires on a warming planet.
weatherwest.com

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Model ensembles trending even wetter for NorCal between now & end of Oct. I'm personally skeptical that *this* much will actually fall, but I'm increasingly convinced of significant rain/mountain snow that will likely be fire-season ending from about I-80 northward. https://t.co/QFGsJxT9fs

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NorCal weather set-up for Thu/Fri is reminiscent of previous Sept thunderstorm events. Key ingredients include offshore low pressure system & mid-level subtropical moisture tap. Very light showers possible, but main concern remains dry (or nearly so) lightning.

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Major CA heatwave still appears to be in the cards 5-7 days from now. Another prolonged period of very hot conditions is possible across interior, and coastal spots will probably get hotter than last PacNW-focused event. Still not clear exactly hot hot it may get.

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Models once again hinting at potential for major heatwave about a week from now. Operational runs hinting at what could be rather intense event, with June monthly temperatures records threatened, although ensembles more muted. Still, very strong heat signal for mid-June...

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PSA: Relatively low-latitude, even sub-tropical, locations in central & eastern portions (but less frequently western portions) of continents can occasionally experience severe winter cold spells--like Texas is currently enduring. But how, & why this longitudinal asymmetry?(1/17)

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Another big heatwave headed for California next week. Get ready for a potentially very long-duration stretch of very hot conditions nearly essentially statewide. Not quite as hot as SoCal record breaker 2 weeks ago, but very impressive nonetheless.

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