XelArtzさんのイラストまとめ

#Amphan #CycloneAmphan #AmphanCyclone is so massive, its moisture plume covers all of the Bay of Bengal, and almost all of southern India. A good chunk of the moisture enters the Arabian sea, too!

Such a large storm can greatly affect the atmosphere around them to benefit them.

01B in the Bay of Bengal is wasting no time in getting well-established, as an absolutely MASSIVE system. All models agree that it will likely rapidly intensify into a major cyclone and impact the Bengal region.
Microwave imagery shows that it's about to take off. #01B

Highly, Highly Doubtful that BOB-01 gets as strong as the HWRF shows it, but all the models save for CMC develop it into well below 940mb.

Below are the past four runs, 18Z, 12Z, 06Z, and 00Z
The 06Z one probably smoked whatever the NAM smokes on the reg, no?

My thoughts on the 00z Hwrf

Cat 5 landfall and 900MB. Holy shit

Doubtful it'll be that extreme, but 2020 already proved that wild things can happen with Harold.

HOLY-

HWRF going apocalyptic mode.

91B in the NIO is continuing to fire very deep convection over the developing circulation. With very favorable conditions and a massive agreement in all models in terms of intensity, I have high confidence that this will soon develop into a very significant cyclone.

like with many models, the HWRF develops 91B into a large, intense cyclone.

The system in the NIO is wasting little time in getting organized. All models show that this could develop into a very strong cyclone that could impact Bangladesh or India in the coming days.

Invest 91B in the NIO is wasting little time getting organized. There is hardly a model that does NOT show it becoming a large, powerful cyclone in a few days.

This one could become a real beast, and it'll be a large one at that.