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Senior Vice President at Guy Carpenter, focus on climate change + severe weather; Princeton Postdoc; PhD from the U; Opinions = my own and not my employer

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# canada climatechange hurricanefiona southkorea typhoonbavi bavi ecmwf hwrf

As tropical storm watches get issued for provinces >50 deg N, you may be wondering how. Partly because North Atlantic SSTs are smashing records. This is part of a trend (see fig 1 https://t.co/qF9XLVIIvD). fueled by SSTs 10 deg F > average!

9 18
2022-09-23

Over the last week, SSTs have increased by about 2-3 degrees Celsius off the SW coast of and are now 3+ deg C above 1981-2010 mean. This anomaly likely adds 12-18 hours more time for to intensify in an area that is traditionally very hostile for typhoons

2 4
2020-08-24

12Z update on now a typhoon at 70 knots. 72 hr forecasts from and are showing
super making landfall in North Korea, South Korea, or just west of North Korea border with China. Must continue to monitor this historic storm.

4 4
2020-08-23