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As tropical storm watches get issued for #Canada provinces >50 deg N, you may be wondering how. Partly because North Atlantic SSTs are smashing records. This is part of a #climatechange trend (see fig 1 https://t.co/qF9XLVIIvD). #HurricaneFiona fueled by SSTs 10 deg F > average!
Over the last week, SSTs have increased by about 2-3 degrees Celsius off the SW coast of #SouthKorea and are now 3+ deg C above 1981-2010 mean. This anomaly likely adds 12-18 hours more time for #TyphoonBavi to intensify in an area that is traditionally very hostile for typhoons
12Z update on #Bavi, now a typhoon at 70 knots. 72 hr forecasts from #ECMWF and #HWRF are showing
super #typhoonBavi making landfall in North Korea, South Korea, or just west of North Korea border with China. Must continue to monitor this historic storm.