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Strong signals for a low pressure anomaly to cover large parts of Europe in the first week of November. This will bring 60-75mph winds to parts of S England on Saturday and generally large amounts of rain, notably to France & NW Iberia.
A large low pressure anomaly is expected to sit over NW Europe during the first week of November (at least). As a result, it's likely to be wetter than average - notably for S UK, France, Portugal, Spain (except E coast) & W Italy.
Considerable wave heights expected around the Azores on Wednesday, in association with hurricane Lorenzo (map credit: @metdesk)
The NAO index (station pressure method) is expected to become increasingly positive next week, as a depression (involving the remnants of ex hurricane Dorian) moves east between Iceland & Scotland as high pressure moves to the Azores. (chart credit: @WorldClimateSvc)
A long, active cold front stretches across the Atlantic and is full of Cumulonimbus clouds (some growing, some decaying) - as estimated by satellite cloud top temperature changes @eumetsat @eumetsat_users
@MoncefBousba @EKMeteo @WorldClimateSvc Here are the comparisons using the 1981-2010 and 2009-2018 baselines.
Here’s an estimate of the temperature anomalies, relative to the 30 year climatology, for July 2019. Generally warmer than average in the west (notably France) & Norway & N Sweden. Colder than average in Poland and eastwards to Russia, also SW Iberia (via @WorldClimateSvc).
The latest CFSv2 weather model for August shows a low pressure anomaly, notably across Ireland, Scotland and Norway. This suggests a wetter than average month overall for central & north Europe, but drier signals for Iceland & the Mediterranean countries #negativeNAO
The NAO index is forecast to be strongly negative in the first week of August. Typically this increases the chance for cool & wet spells for large parts of Europe, but drier signals for some Mediterranean countries & Iceland (via @WorldClimateSvc)
@Schafernaker here are the hourly temperatures so far relative to those previous very hot days