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Obviously weather is only part of a given area's energy picture but if Europe were ever to try to embargo Russian gas in March, the next couple weeks don't look all that bad from a meteorological perspective.
GEFS and EPS both signal anomalous warmth centered around Germany
Don't generally have much to say re Ukraine as I am not a foreign policy/military strat expert.
That said, there does appear to be somewhat of a weather angle as reports surface of fighting near Chernobyl.
SW winds will blow anything into Belarus today, but front lurks Sat AM
As we're in peak Hurricane Season and the tropical Atlantic remains active, here's a quick reminder to make sure you're tuned into reliable sources (first and foremost @NHC_Atlantic) and tuned out of the cacophony of misinformation.
Here's some BS I've been asked about today:
A little bummed not to be seeing real tornadoes out on the High Plains but cooking my own in a computer has been a fun exercise for the past few days
Robust signal for new tropical cyclone development in the Caribbean continues on overnight ensemble guidance (both GEFS and EPS) as a wave and cold front enter the basin under strong upper-level divergence.
NHC development odds now up to 40%.
Model maps: https://t.co/m0Yjxszm1d