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Meteorologist | Adventurer | Occasional Twitter dropout. jack (dot) sillin (at) gmail (dot) com if you need me. Long live 🇺🇸🇺🇦
sillinweather.com

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Obviously weather is only part of a given area's energy picture but if Europe were ever to try to embargo Russian gas in March, the next couple weeks don't look all that bad from a meteorological perspective.

GEFS and EPS both signal anomalous warmth centered around Germany

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Don't generally have much to say re Ukraine as I am not a foreign policy/military strat expert.

That said, there does appear to be somewhat of a weather angle as reports surface of fighting near Chernobyl.

SW winds will blow anything into Belarus today, but front lurks Sat AM

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12" starting to look like pretty safe money in eastern and parts of Downeast even with today's trend towards a slower phase.

Much different story just a bit west in NYC where the odds of 6" are just barely break even.

Still lots of questions yet to be answered!

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Hard to imagine a more beautiful sight after a summer of brutal heat, drought, and fire in the West.

A powerful Atmospheric River stretching the width of the Pacific is bringing heavy rain & mountain snow to and likely putting an end to fire season there.

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As we're in peak Hurricane Season and the tropical Atlantic remains active, here's a quick reminder to make sure you're tuned into reliable sources (first and foremost ) and tuned out of the cacophony of misinformation.

Here's some BS I've been asked about today:

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A little bummed not to be seeing real tornadoes out on the High Plains but cooking my own in a computer has been a fun exercise for the past few days

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Robust signal for new tropical cyclone development in the Caribbean continues on overnight ensemble guidance (both GEFS and EPS) as a wave and cold front enter the basin under strong upper-level divergence.

NHC development odds now up to 40%.

Model maps: https://t.co/m0Yjxszm1d

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